Real Aranjuez CF vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
16º
16º
47
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
URS
5 - 1
ARA
76%
16%
9%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
ALC
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TRJ
4 - 2
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
CDM
14%
22%
64%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CVI
0 - 1
ARA
56%
21%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 0
VAL
47%
27%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RVB
3 - 1
ALC
46%
24%
29%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
GAL
54%
24%
21%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LRZ
1 - 2
ALC
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RMA
4 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |