Reading vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
SHW
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
REA
5 - 2
HUR
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 0
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
REA
66%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HUR
2 - 2
REA
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 1
BPO
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BCF
2 - 3
WAL
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
COV
1 - 1
WAL
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
WAL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 3
ROC
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |