Reading vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 1
REA
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
REA
1 - 1
SCU
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
REA
2 - 4
CRY
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SHW
0 - 2
REA
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
DER
2 - 1
REA
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
SHW
0 - 2
SWA
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SWA
0 - 1
NTT
52%
27%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
SWA
1 - 0
PLY
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
POS
2 - 2
SWA
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 0
SWA
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |