Série D Brazil Ronda Preliminar. Final
Global 1-5
Real Ariquemes vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
66.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
RDA
1 - 0
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
RDA
20%
21%
58%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
RDA
1 - 0
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
RDA
1 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
GEN
0 - 5
RDA
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 0
GAM
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
LUZ
0 - 5
BRA
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
LUZ
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
CEI
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |