RCD Gara vs Padre Anchieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Gara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 2
PCR
32%
22%
46%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SJE
2 - 1
GAR
33%
22%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 5
GAR
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAU
4 - 1
GAR
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
GAR
5 - 0
ICO
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Padre Anchieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ANC
2 - 1
PER
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PCR
5 - 1
ANC
72%
16%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ANC
1 - 2
SJE
54%
20%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
ANC
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ANC
1 - 2
SAU
63%
18%
19%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |