Espanyol de Madrid vs Carranza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CCA
8 - 1
ESP
78%
13%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAB
2 - 0
ESP
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ESP
3 - 3
ACA
45%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 3
ESP
58%
18%
24%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 7
IMA
45%
22%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
JUS
44%
25%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
SMC
43%
25%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
JRR
1 - 2
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CCA
1 - 1
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 1
CAB
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |