Strasbourg II vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
4º
47
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
SAR
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
STR
0 - 0
MEZ
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
THA
37%
26%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
REI
5 - 2
STR
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 1
RAO
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 0
RAO
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
THA
4 - 0
RAO
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 4
RAO
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
RAO
4 - 0
JAR
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |