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Bundesliga. Matchday 33

RB Leipzig Wolfsburg
86 ELO 81
-6% Tilt 40%
35º General ELO ranking 62º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.7%
RB Leipzig
23.9%
Draw
30.4%
Wolfsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
RB Leipzig
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.4%
Win probability
Wolfsburg
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
RB Leipzig
+12%
+29%
Wolfsburg

Basic stats

59
41
POS
14
13
SOT
11
3
COR
2
2
GF
2
2
GC
16
14
FRK
86
81
ELO
1.7
1.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

RB Leipzig
Their league position
Wolfsburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
61
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
78
78
100%
RB Leipzig
65
65
100%
B. Dortmund
64
64
100%
Wolfsburg
61
61
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt
60
60
100%
B. Leverkusen
52
52
100%
Union Berlin
50
50
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
49
49
100%
Stuttgart
45
45
50%
SC Freiburg
10º
45
45
10º
50%
Hoffenheim
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Mainz 05
12º
39
39
12º
100%
FC Augsburg
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Hertha BSC
14º
35
35
14º
50%
Arminia Bielefeld
15º
35
35
15º
50%
Köln
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Werder Bremen
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Schalke 04
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 100%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Wolfsburg
WOL
RB Leipzig
RBL
Union Berlin
FCU
Mainz 05
M05
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1%
X%
2%
ELO RBL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
1 - 4
B. Dortmund
BVB
46%
27%
27%
2871 3084 -213 -17
08 May. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
3 - 2
RB Leipzig
RBL
55%
24%
21%
2875 3072 197 -8
30 Apr. 2021
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
RBL
29%
26%
46%
2869 2016 -853 +9
25 Apr. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Stuttgart
STU
72%
17%
11%
2858 1920 938 +6
20 Apr. 2021
KOL
Köln
2 - 1
RB Leipzig
RBL
30%
27%
44%
2875 1938 -937 -18

Matches

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO WOL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
WOL
Wolfsburg
3 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
64%
20%
16%
2552 1809 743 +9
24 Apr. 2021
WOL
Wolfsburg
0 - 2
B. Dortmund
BVB
39%
28%
33%
2566 3053 -487 -14
21 Apr. 2021
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 3
Wolfsburg
WOL
36%
27%
38%
2554 1932 -622 +12
17 Apr. 2021
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
25%
25%
51%
2559 3690 -1131 -5
10 Apr. 2021
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 - 3
Wolfsburg
WOL
49%
26%
25%
2569 2513 -56 -11