LaLiga round 11

Rayo Vallecano vs Málaga analysis

Rayo Vallecano Málaga
85 ELO 82
7.4% Tilt 3.6%
77º General ELO ranking 619º
16º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
59.7%
Rayo Vallecano
21.8%
Draw
18.5%
Málaga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
Rayo Vallecano
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.5%
Win probability
Málaga
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rayo Vallecano
+6%
-6%
Málaga

ELO progression

Rayo Vallecano
Málaga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2000
VCF
Valencia
2 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
73%
16%
11%
85 91 6 0
09 Nov. 2000
VFF
Viborg FF
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
37%
26%
37%
85 78 7 0
05 Nov. 2000
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Real Valladolid
VAD
60%
23%
17%
85 84 1 0
01 Nov. 2000
OVI
Real Oviedo
4 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
38%
27%
36%
85 81 4 0
29 Oct. 2000
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
58%
23%
19%
85 85 0 0

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2000
MAL
Málaga
0 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
46%
27%
28%
82 87 5 0
04 Nov. 2000
CEL
Celta
1 - 0
Málaga
MAL
66%
20%
14%
82 88 6 0
01 Nov. 2000
MAL
Málaga
3 - 1
Osasuna
OSA
64%
22%
15%
82 77 5 0
28 Oct. 2000
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
1 - 1
Málaga
MAL
68%
19%
14%
82 87 5 0
22 Oct. 2000
MAL
Málaga
2 - 1
Villarreal
VIL
58%
23%
19%
81 78 3 +1