Rayo Vallecano vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OVI
2 - 0
RAY
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
3 - 0
CAD
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
REU
1 - 1
RAY
11%
22%
67%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 0
GET
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 1
RAY
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ELC
4 - 4
GIM
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
UES
0 - 0
GIM
10%
19%
71%
|
69 | 32 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
SEV
64%
23%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CCF
2 - 0
GIM
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 0
ZAR
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |