LaLiga . Jor. 16

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta analysis

Rayo Vallecano Celta
83 ELO 83
0.3% Tilt -6.5%
187º General ELO ranking 149º
17º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
45.4%
Rayo Vallecano
24.6%
Draw
30%
Celta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
Rayo Vallecano
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30%
Win probability
Celta
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rayo Vallecano
-5%
+6%
Celta

Points and table prediction

Rayo Vallecano
Their league position
Celta
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
16º
15º
28
13º
19º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Madrid
78
94
98.5%
Barcelona
70
84
88%
Girona
65
78
51%
Atlético
61
77
50.5%
Athletic
56
70
82.5%
Real Sociedad
49
60
74.5%
Real Betis
45
56
35.5%
Valencia
44
55
25.5%
Villarreal
11º
38
51
26.5%
Osasuna
10º
39
50
10º
24%
Getafe
39
47
11º
25.5%
Sevilla
13º
34
44
12º
29%
Las Palmas
12º
37
44
13º
21.5%
Mallorca
15º
31
39
14º
19%
Rayo Vallecano
16º
31
39
15º
26%
Deportivo Alavés
14º
32
37
16º
23.5%
Celta
17º
28
36
17º
25.5%
Cádiz
18º
25
32
18º
69.5%
Granada
19º
17
22
19º
57%
Almería
20º
13
21
20º
60%
Expected probabilities
Rayo Vallecano
Celta
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
99% 84.5%
Relegation
1% 15.5%

ELO progression

Rayo Vallecano
Celta
Deportivo Alavés
Osasuna
Villarreal
Las Palmas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2023
YEC
Yeclano Deportivo
0 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
7%
17%
77%
83 49 34 0
02 Dec. 2023
ATH
Athletic
4 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
58%
23%
18%
83 88 5 0
25 Nov. 2023
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
15%
21%
65%
83 94 11 0
11 Nov. 2023
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Girona
GIR
38%
25%
38%
83 85 2 0
05 Nov. 2023
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
82%
13%
5%
83 96 13 0

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2023
SES
Sestao River
1 - 2
Celta
CEL
11%
20%
70%
83 52 31 0
04 Dec. 2023
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
52%
25%
23%
83 81 2 0
25 Nov. 2023
VCF
Valencia
0 - 0
Celta
CEL
52%
24%
24%
83 86 3 0
10 Nov. 2023
ATH
Athletic
4 - 3
Celta
CEL
54%
24%
21%
83 88 5 0
04 Nov. 2023
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
30%
26%
44%
83 88 5 0
X