Rayo Vallecano vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
MAL
1 - 1
RAY
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
RAY
2 - 0
RAC
81%
14%
6%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GIR
3 - 1
RAY
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
RAY
3 - 1
DEP
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 1
RAY
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
ALM
3 - 1
GIR
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
UDL
0 - 3
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MAL
0 - 1
ALM
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
HUE
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALM
21%
29%
51%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |