Rayo Vallecano B vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
16º
12º
47
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
URS
3 - 0
RVB
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RVB
1 - 2
ALC
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TRJ
2 - 2
RVB
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RVB
0 - 1
CDM
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CVI
0 - 2
RVB
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
GAL
54%
24%
21%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LRZ
1 - 2
ALC
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RMA
4 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
URS
21%
25%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
ALC
51%
24%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |