Rápido Bahía vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
61.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rápido Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
RAP
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RAP
5 - 2
NIG
49%
24%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
RAP
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RAP
1 - 0
CAL
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RAP
1 - 5
ERI
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
ERI
29%
22%
50%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PON
2 - 2
AMA
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
MOA
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UDE
0 - 1
AMA
25%
23%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
GUA
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |