Rápido Bahía vs Erizana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rápido Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
RAP
78%
14%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 4
MOA
13%
18%
69%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UDE
6 - 1
RAP
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 3
GUA
30%
23%
47%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PON
7 - 0
RAP
58%
22%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ERI
4 - 3
CAL
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ERI
1 - 1
PON
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MOA
4 - 0
ERI
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ERI
5 - 1
UDE
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ERI
1 - 0
PON
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |