Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AUS
0 - 0
RAP
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 1
WIE
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AWM
0 - 4
RAP
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
RAP
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RAP
3 - 0
KAP
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
STR
2 - 2
RBS
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
STR
2 - 4
HAR
77%
17%
7%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAT
0 - 2
STR
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STR
0 - 0
RIE
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 1
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |