Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
LAS
0 - 0
RAP
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
RAP
3 - 0
FRA
83%
10%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
RAP
4 - 0
AUK
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
SSW
1 - 2
RAP
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
ADM
0 - 2
RAP
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
STR
2 - 1
GRA
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
LIN
2 - 2
STR
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
STR
2 - 2
SAL
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
LBN
2 - 2
STR
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
AUS
5 - 0
STR
69%
18%
14%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |