Champions League . Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Rapid Wien vs IFK Malmö analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.8%
7.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 0
SCH
89%
7%
4%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
RBS
1 - 3
RAP
25%
22%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
RAP
6 - 2
DOR
91%
6%
3%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
SIM
1 - 2
RAP
44%
21%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
RAP
7 - 2
BIS
90%
6%
4%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Malmö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
CSK
1 - 1
MAL
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1960 |
MAL
1 - 0
CSK
54%
22%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
MAL
3 - 3
HEL
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
JON
2 - 1
MAL
39%
24%
36%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAL
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |