Rapid Wien II vs SKN St. Polten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
8º
16º
15º
16
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 60 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 56 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 54 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 50 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 48 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 45 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 43 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 41 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 39 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 35 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 33 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 31 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
|
15º
|
2 | 28 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 24 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
39% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation
|
61% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 2
AUS
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
SVA
4 - 2
RAP
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 1
FCL
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SWB
1 - 1
RAP
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
LEO
1 - 2
RAP
17%
19%
64%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
HER
2 - 2
SKN
18%
20%
62%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
AMS
0 - 0
SKN
21%
23%
56%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
SKN
2 - 1
VIE
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
SKN
4 - 2
SWB
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
AUS
1 - 4
SKN
18%
23%
59%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |