Randers vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
5º
15
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 0
VFF
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 3
RAN
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 0
ACH
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AGF
0 - 0
RAN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
RAN
2 - 2
OBK
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AAB
2 - 1
BIF
31%
26%
42%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AAB
0 - 0
FCN
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
SIF
3 - 1
AAB
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AAB
0 - 0
ACH
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AAB
1 - 3
FCK
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |