Conference Premier Isthmian Round 5

Ramsgate vs Dartford analysis

Ramsgate Dartford
44 ELO 44
14% Tilt 22.8%
6166º General ELO ranking 5714º
208º Country ELO ranking 187º
ELO win probability
50.5%
Ramsgate
22.1%
Draw
27.4%
Dartford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
Ramsgate
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.4%
Win probability
Dartford
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ramsgate
-12%
-35%
Dartford

Points and table prediction

Ramsgate
Their league position
Dartford
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
16º
1
22º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Billericay Town
14º
4
81
22.5%
Ramsgate
16º
3
79
14.5%
Chatham Town
7
78
11%
Carshalton Athletic
6
74
8.5%
Chichester City
10º
5
71
10.5%
Cray Valley PM
21º
0
68
6.5%
Hashtag United
13º
4
67
7%
St. Albans City
12º
4
66
6%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
9
65
5%
Dartford
19º
1
64
10º
11%
Cray Wanderers
7
64
11º
5%
Brentwood Town
7
63
12º
5.5%
Folkestone Invicta
5
58
13º
6.5%
Lewes
15º
4
57
14º
4.5%
Aveley
5
53
15º
5%
Cheshunt
6
50
16º
7%
Wingate & Finchley
20º
0
48
17º
8%
Whitehawk
11º
4
48
18º
12%
Potters Bar Town
17º
1
38
19º
15%
Welling United
18º
1
35
20º
15%
Burgess Hill Town
7
34
21º
22%
Canvey Island
22º
0
25
22º
44.5%
Expected probabilities
Ramsgate
Dartford
Promotion
16.5% 2%
Promotion play-offs
40.5% 20%
Mid-table
43% 70.5%
Relegation
0% 7.5%

ELO progression

Ramsgate
Dartford
Billericay Town
Canvey Island
Cray Valley PM
Carshalton Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ramsgate
Ramsgate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2025
RAM
Ramsgate
0 - 2
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
66%
18%
16%
45 38 7 0
12 Aug. 2025
CHA
Chatham Town
4 - 2
Ramsgate
RAM
39%
23%
38%
46 45 1 -1
09 Aug. 2025
RAM
Ramsgate
3 - 2
Whitehawk
WHI
75%
15%
10%
45 35 10 +1
12 Jul. 2025
RAM
Ramsgate
1 - 0
Whyteleafe
WHY
72%
16%
12%
45 34 11 0
05 Oct. 2024
RAM
Ramsgate
1 - 3
Cray Valley PM
CRA
46%
23%
31%
46 47 1 -1

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2025
STA
St. Albans City
2 - 0
Dartford
DAR
36%
25%
39%
45 44 1 0
12 Aug. 2025
DAR
Dartford
1 - 1
Billericay Town
BIL
34%
24%
41%
44 48 4 +1
09 Aug. 2025
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
4 - 0
Dartford
DAR
17%
21%
63%
47 33 14 -3
02 Aug. 2025
DAR
Dartford
2 - 2
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
57%
21%
22%
47 38 9 0
29 Jul. 2025
FAV
Faversham Town
0 - 0
Dartford
DAR
13%
18%
69%
47 29 18 0