Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 4-3
Raków Częstochowa vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
RAK
3 - 0
JAG
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 3
RAK
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RAK
0 - 0
WAR
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
RAK
1 - 0
FLO
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
RAK
2 - 1
UCL
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
QAR
4 - 0
LRI
46%
22%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
LRI
1 - 2
QAR
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
QAR
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 0
QAR
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
FTC
3 - 3
QAR
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |