Scottish League Cup Round 3

Raith Rovers vs Kilmarnock analysis

Raith Rovers Kilmarnock
67 ELO 83
4.4% Tilt 0.4%
1085º General ELO ranking 524º
16º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Raith Rovers
22.8%
Draw
37.3%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.3%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Raith Rovers
+11%
-2%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Raith Rovers
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 1962
AIR
Airdrieonians
1 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
68%
16%
16%
68 66 2 0
11 Aug. 1962
RAI
Raith Rovers
2 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
47%
21%
32%
68 78 10 0
28 Apr. 1962
RAI
Raith Rovers
3 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
47%
22%
31%
67 71 4 +1
21 Apr. 1962
CEL
Celtic
0 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
76%
15%
10%
66 83 17 +1
07 Apr. 1962
RAI
Raith Rovers
2 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
65%
20%
15%
65 61 4 +1

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 1962
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 - 3
Kilmarnock
KIL
58%
19%
23%
83 78 5 0
11 Aug. 1962
KIL
Kilmarnock
4 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
75%
14%
10%
83 66 17 0
28 Apr. 1962
GLA
Rangers
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
57%
20%
23%
83 83 0 0
21 Apr. 1962
MHE
Motherwell
0 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
47%
22%
31%
83 78 5 0
07 Apr. 1962
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
54%
21%
25%
83 83 0 0