SPL Round 6

Raith Rovers vs Falkirk analysis

Raith Rovers Falkirk
74 ELO 71
4.5% Tilt -4.4%
1081º General ELO ranking 440º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65.8%
Raith Rovers
19.6%
Draw
14.6%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.6%
Win probability
Falkirk
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Raith Rovers
+10%
-3%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Raith Rovers
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Dec. 1921
RAI
Raith Rovers
3 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
71%
18%
11%
73 69 4 0
29 Dec. 1921
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 1
Clyde
CLY
63%
20%
17%
73 71 2 0
24 Dec. 1921
RAI
Raith Rovers
2 - 3
St. Mirren
STM
70%
18%
13%
74 67 7 -1
17 Dec. 1921
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
62%
20%
17%
74 73 1 0
10 Dec. 1921
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 0
Dundee
DUN
47%
25%
29%
74 83 9 0

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Dec. 1921
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 2
Third Lanark
TLA
43%
25%
32%
72 83 11 0
29 Dec. 1921
AIR
Airdrieonians
3 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
54%
24%
22%
73 70 3 -1
24 Dec. 1921
CEL
Celtic
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
66%
20%
14%
73 83 10 0
17 Dec. 1921
FAL
Falkirk
7 - 0
Greenock Morton
GRE
42%
26%
32%
71 83 12 +2
10 Dec. 1921
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
48%
25%
27%
71 65 6 0