Scottish Championship Round 22

Raith Rovers vs Dumbarton analysis

Raith Rovers Dumbarton
54 ELO 52
8.2% Tilt -11.4%
1080º General ELO ranking 4031º
16º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
53.9%
Raith Rovers
22.6%
Draw
23.5%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.5%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Raith Rovers
+15%
+40%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

Raith Rovers
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2016
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
73%
17%
10%
55 45 10 0
09 Jan. 2016
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
23%
23%
54%
56 71 15 -1
02 Jan. 2016
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
71%
19%
10%
56 70 14 0
18 Dec. 2015
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
57%
25%
18%
56 60 4 0
11 Dec. 2015
QOS
Queen of the South
1 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
56%
24%
20%
55 58 3 +1

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2016
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 1
Queen of the South
QOS
36%
25%
39%
51 59 8 0
02 Jan. 2016
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 6
Rangers
GLA
16%
22%
63%
51 74 23 0
26 Dec. 2015
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
67%
20%
13%
52 64 12 -1
19 Dec. 2015
LIV
Livingston
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
52%
24%
24%
52 56 4 0
12 Dec. 2015
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
39%
25%
36%
51 58 7 +1