Raith Rovers vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 1
RAI
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
RAI
1 - 1
ICT
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RAI
2 - 1
ARB
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
RAI
3 - 1
EAS
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
KIL
1 - 3
RAI
58%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 1
KIL
27%
29%
45%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 1
AYR
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
AYR
2 - 1
QOS
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 0
AYR
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 0
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |