Raith Rovers vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
STM
5 - 0
RAI
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
HIB
3 - 2
RAI
75%
18%
8%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
RAI
2 - 0
GRE
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 0
RAI
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 0
RAI
69%
20%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 4
HIB
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
AYR
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 0
DUN
21%
24%
54%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 2
QOS
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
STM
6 - 2
AYR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |