Raith Rovers vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
6º
2º
23
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RAI
4 - 4
AYR
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
RAI
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 2
RAI
16%
25%
59%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
RAI
4 - 3
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ICT
1 - 2
RAI
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUN
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ICT
1 - 2
ARB
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 2
RAI
16%
25%
59%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 2
GRE
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
ARB
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |