Rain / Lech vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AMB
1 - 0
RAI
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RAI
1 - 3
AUG
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 2
RAI
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RAI
2 - 1
SSV
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ING
4 - 2
RAI
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 3
BUC
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
186
0 - 1
ILL
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ILL
2 - 4
BAY
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UNT
0 - 0
ILL
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AMB
1 - 2
ILL
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |