Raeren vs Aubel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 6
RAE
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
RAE
3 - 1
REC
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
AMB
0 - 1
RAE
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
RAE
2 - 1
WEY
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
OUG
0 - 0
RAE
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aubel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
RAU
1 - 1
OUG
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CLI
1 - 0
RAU
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
RAU
1 - 1
JSF
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
RAU
6 - 6
WAN
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TRO
4 - 1
RAU
9%
14%
77%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -4 |