Super Liga Normal Season Round 30

Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak Krusevac analysis

Radnik Surdulica Napredak Krusevac
66 ELO 65
-3.3% Tilt -9.7%
1065º General ELO ranking 1320º
13º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
46.6%
Radnik Surdulica
27.9%
Draw
25.5%
Napredak Krusevac

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
Radnik Surdulica
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.5%
Win probability
Napredak Krusevac
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Radnik Surdulica
Their league position
Napredak Krusevac
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
13º
16º
15º
31
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Crvena Zvezda
82
82
100%
FK TSC
62
62
100%
FK Cukaricki
60
60
100%
Partizan Belgrade
58
58
100%
FK Vojvodina
54
54
100%
Novi Pazar
50
50
100%
FK Vozdovac
39
39
100%
Radnički Kragujevac
37
37
0%
Kolubara
37
37
0%
Napredak Krusevac
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Javor Ivanjica
12º
29
29
11º
100%
Radnicki Nis
11º
29
29
12º
100%
FK Spartak Subotica
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Mladost Lučani
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Radnik Surdulica
15º
23
23
15º
100%
Mladost GAT
16º
20
20
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Radnik Surdulica
Napredak Krusevac
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Radnik Surdulica
Napredak Krusevac
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Radnik Surdulica
Radnik Surdulica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
NPA
Novi Pazar
1 - 0
Radnik Surdulica
RAD
52%
27%
21%
67 72 5 0
02 Apr. 2023
RAD
Radnik Surdulica
0 - 1
FK TSC
TSC
22%
27%
51%
67 80 13 0
17 Mar. 2023
PAR
Partizan Belgrade
1 - 2
Radnik Surdulica
RAD
74%
17%
9%
66 81 15 +1
12 Mar. 2023
RAD
Radnik Surdulica
0 - 0
Javor Ivanjica
JAV
44%
26%
30%
66 65 1 0
05 Mar. 2023
ČUK
FK Cukaricki
1 - 0
Radnik Surdulica
RAD
70%
20%
11%
67 81 14 -1

Matches

Napredak Krusevac
Napredak Krusevac
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2023
NAP
Napredak Krusevac
0 - 0
Mladost Lučani
MLA
42%
28%
31%
66 65 1 0
31 Mar. 2023
KOL
Kolubara
0 - 1
Napredak Krusevac
NAP
44%
28%
28%
66 64 2 0
19 Mar. 2023
NAP
Napredak Krusevac
1 - 1
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
12%
20%
68%
66 81 15 0
15 Mar. 2023
FKS
FK Spartak Subotica
0 - 1
Napredak Krusevac
NAP
52%
24%
24%
65 66 1 +1
11 Mar. 2023
RAD
Radnički Kragujevac
3 - 0
Napredak Krusevac
NAP
41%
29%
30%
66 64 2 -1