Radnik Surdulica vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
73.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
NAP
1 - 2
RAD
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
RAD
0 - 4
VOJ
23%
28%
50%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
VOZ
0 - 0
RAD
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
ZEM
2 - 3
RAD
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
RAD
2 - 1
RAD
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CRV
3 - 0
ČUK
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 1
CRV
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
RAD
0 - 2
CRV
10%
18%
72%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
CRV
2 - 0
SPA
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CRV
3 - 0
RAD
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |