Radnik Surdulica vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
72.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 0
RAD
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RAD
1 - 0
RAD
44%
27%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
FKS
1 - 1
RAD
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
RAD
1 - 1
ČUK
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
JAV
1 - 0
RAD
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CRV
2 - 1
RAD
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VOZ
0 - 1
CRV
13%
21%
66%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
CRV
2 - 2
MLA
83%
12%
6%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MET
1 - 2
CRV
12%
20%
68%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NAP
0 - 1
CRV
25%
24%
52%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |