Racing vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
RAY
3 - 1
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ALA
0 - 1
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
RUN
3 - 2
RAC
14%
24%
62%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
RAC
0 - 1
VAD
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
POL
1 - 0
RAC
24%
27%
50%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
VAD
1 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
HER
2 - 1
VIL
16%
23%
62%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 2
OSA
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
MAL
1 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |