Racing vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
RCF
2 - 2
RAC
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GRA
3 - 0
RAC
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
RAC
2 - 0
BAR
63%
18%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
CAS
3 - 2
RAC
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
RAC
7 - 1
GIR
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 0
GRA
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 0
SPO
51%
20%
30%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SPO
5 - 2
CAS
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
GIR
4 - 2
SPO
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 1
LEV
55%
19%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |