Racing vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
19.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
RUN
2 - 2
RAC
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
RAC
2 - 2
BAR
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
RCF
5 - 0
RAC
42%
21%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
RAC
1 - 1
RCF
76%
14%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
RAC
0 - 0
AVI
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 3
SPO
49%
22%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
SPO
3 - 2
RCF
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 2
SPO
83%
10%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SPO
1 - 4
OVI
38%
21%
41%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAC
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |