Racing vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.5%
10.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
RAC
2 - 0
SDE
89%
7%
4%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
SDE
1 - 1
RAC
19%
19%
61%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 1
RAC
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
15%
14%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
BET
2 - 1
RAC
48%
21%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
SPO
4 - 1
MON
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
MON
0 - 6
SPO
15%
18%
67%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
SPO
2 - 4
AVI
78%
13%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
DEP
2 - 0
SPO
43%
23%
33%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIM
83%
11%
7%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |