Racing vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MLL
1 - 1
RAC
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
DEP
1 - 1
RAC
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
RAC
3 - 0
FCB
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 2
RAC
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
EIB
0 - 0
RAC
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
MUR
2 - 2
CEL
27%
28%
46%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 1
ESP
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
RMA
1 - 0
MUR
89%
8%
3%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 2
MAL
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
VCF
2 - 0
MUR
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |