Racing vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
RSO
1 - 2
RAC
63%
18%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
RAC
2 - 2
ATM
45%
21%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
FCB
6 - 0
RAC
88%
8%
4%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
RAC
2 - 1
SEV
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
DEP
4 - 2
RAC
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 3
ATH
28%
22%
50%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
OSA
2 - 0
RJA
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 2
RMA
27%
22%
50%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
VCF
4 - 0
RJA
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
RJA
3 - 2
CEL
50%
22%
28%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |