Racing vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
RAC
1 - 1
FCB
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
RSO
3 - 0
RAC
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
RAC
1 - 1
SEV
35%
23%
41%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
RAC
2 - 1
CDT
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
ELC
2 - 1
RAC
69%
17%
15%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ELC
2 - 2
ATH
48%
22%
29%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ATH
0 - 0
VCF
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ATH
3 - 0
MLL
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
ESP
0 - 3
ATH
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |