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Promotion Belgium. VFV B, Matchday 20

Racing Mechelen vs Leopoldsburg analysis

Racing Mechelen Leopoldsburg
29 ELO 48
7% Tilt 54%
5595º General ELO ranking 16504º
338º Country ELO ranking 396º
ELO win probability
25.6%
Racing Mechelen
22.1%
Draw
52.2%
Leopoldsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
Racing Mechelen
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.2%
Win probability
Leopoldsburg
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Racing Mechelen
-5%
+25%
Leopoldsburg

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tienen
65
65
100%
KFC Houtvenne
53
53
100%
Lyra
52
52
100%
Sint-Lenaarts
46
46
100%
Betekom
45
45
100%
Zwarte Leeuw
43
43
100%
Wellen
42
42
33%
Eendracht Termien
42
42
33%
Helson Helchteren
42
42
33%
Bornem
10º
37
37
10º
50%
Esperanza Pelt
11º
37
37
11º
50%
Bilzerse Waltwilder
12º
35
35
12º
100%
Ternesse
13º
33
33
13º
100%
KFC Nijlen
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Leopoldsburg
15º
30
30
15º
100%
Racing Mechelen
16º
27
27
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Racing Mechelen
Leopoldsburg
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Could qualify for next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Racing Mechelen
RAC
Leopoldsburg
LEO
Zwarte Leeuw
ZWA
Bornem
BOR
Tienen
TIE
KFC Houtvenne
HOU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Racing Mechelen
Racing Mechelen
1%
X%
2%
ELO RAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2019
ZWA
Zwarte Leeuw
3 - 1
Racing Mechelen
RAC
47%
27%
26%
371 494 123 0
19 Jan. 2019
RAC
Racing Mechelen
1 - 2
Tienen
TIE
41%
28%
31%
372 466 -94 0
12 Jan. 2019
RAC
Racing Mechelen
0 - 1
KFC Nijlen
NIL
35%
27%
37%
372 900 -528 0
15 Dec. 2018
RAC
Racing Mechelen
0 - 0
Eendracht Termien
EEN
36%
27%
37%
372 860 -488 0
06 Jan. 2019
HEL
Helson Helchteren
0 - 4
Racing Mechelen
RAC
59%
23%
18%
372 866 494 0

Matches

Leopoldsburg
Leopoldsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO LEO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2019
LEO
Leopoldsburg
2 - 2
KFC Nijlen
NIL
47%
27%
26%
883 901 -18 0
20 Jan. 2019
EEN
Eendracht Termien
2 - 1
Leopoldsburg
LEO
45%
27%
28%
883 860 -23 0
12 Jan. 2019
LEO
Leopoldsburg
1 - 3
Helson Helchteren
HEL
46%
27%
26%
884 866 18 -1
15 Dec. 2018
ESP
Esperanza Pelt
0 - 2
Leopoldsburg
LEO
50%
26%
24%
883 1062 179 +1
08 Dec. 2018
TER
Ternesse
1 - 1
Leopoldsburg
LEO
45%
27%
28%
883 852 -31 0