Racing Montevideo vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 5
PEÑ
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
RAC
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
RAC
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 2
CER
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
RAC
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DAN
1 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DAN
1 - 2
ETS
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 0
PEÑ
25%
23%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |