Racing Ferrol vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
RCF
77%
17%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
RCF
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
RCF
1 - 1
NUM
21%
23%
57%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
UPL
2 - 3
RCF
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
RCF
2 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
OVI
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
COM
0 - 3
LUG
10%
19%
72%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PAP
1 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
LUG
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |