Copa Libertadores . Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Racing Club vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
EST
3 - 0
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1968 |
RAC
2 - 0
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1968 |
RAC
0 - 0
PLA
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 0
RAC
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
RAC
1 - 1
SLO
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
EST
3 - 0
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1968 |
RAC
2 - 0
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
EST
1 - 1
BOC
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1968 |
PLA
2 - 0
EST
40%
29%
31%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1968 |
EST
1 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |