Racing Club Aruba vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
3º
2º
8
3º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RCA
1 - 2
NAC
55%
20%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RCA
1 - 0
BRI
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RCA
4 - 1
RIV
59%
20%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DAK
0 - 4
RCA
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 3
RCA
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
DAK
41%
21%
38%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 3
EST
57%
19%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
EST
61%
19%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
BRI
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 3
RCA
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |