Racing Club Aruba vs Deportivo Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
5º
1º
18
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
RCA
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
RCA
3 - 2
ASF
52%
20%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
RCA
2 - 2
DAK
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
DAK
4 - 2
RCA
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 4
RCA
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 3
NAC
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 11
NAC
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
6 - 0
BUB
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 8
GOL
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |