Racing Castrelos vs La Guía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+153%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ATL
5 - 1
CAS
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 3
CAS
15%
19%
67%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 0
DES
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LTA
0 - 1
CAS
45%
23%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
TOM
32%
23%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
La Guía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GUI
4 - 1
RIV
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
DES
1 - 2
GUI
52%
21%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GUI
3 - 2
LTA
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TOM
5 - 1
GUI
69%
17%
14%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 2
VIL
23%
21%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |