Racing Castrelos vs La Guia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
ARC
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UMI
3 - 4
CAS
39%
23%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAS
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GON
2 - 2
CAS
55%
21%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Guia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LGU
1 - 1
UDE
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 0
LGU
67%
18%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LGU
3 - 1
CUN
22%
20%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
LGU
67%
18%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LGU
0 - 2
GUA
24%
21%
55%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |