Cearense 2 Final
Global 3-3
Quixadá vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
QUI
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
IGU
58%
20%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
IGU
0 - 0
QUI
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 0
TRA
62%
19%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
QUI
23%
21%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
QUI
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
ITA
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |