Quixadá vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
TIR
3 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
HOR
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
QUI
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 0
QUI
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 3
FOR
19%
23%
59%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 0
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
6 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FER
7 - 2
CRA
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |